Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 294.290378 332.986117 376.051711 427.750170 488.409381 557.668285 643.219247
2025-06-22 230.843664 279.888361 339.354878 417.594564 519.060397 647.924957 826.779681
2025-06-29 198.437194 251.665012 319.957271 415.575210 548.562290 730.940922 1007.142297
2025-07-06 170.057480 222.922767 293.657131 397.470523 549.882220 772.005920 1133.176922
2025-07-13 158.778544 214.777047 292.776707 412.626269 598.280683 886.042091 1389.807277
2025-07-20 150.438506 209.284666 294.271587 430.452686 652.210074 1016.644601 1702.268283
2025-07-27 139.522544 198.623657 286.572907 432.548150 680.587447 1109.448480 1969.603497
2025-08-03 127.180467 184.475316 271.848332 421.147098 684.037506 1158.647613 2164.993417
2025-08-10 117.234010 173.005709 260.004096 412.760835 690.962061 1214.474500 2386.556041
2025-08-17 112.717788 169.565842 260.519907 425.209814 736.943211 1352.507748 2822.532027
2025-08-24 106.202642 162.302154 253.954896 424.216091 757.150303 1442.246907 3173.209607
2025-08-31 99.343294 153.898055 244.656868 417.075247 764.052590 1504.871894 3475.329652
2025-09-07 94.321975 148.306162 239.919044 418.324785 789.062862 1614.368858 3943.686634
2025-09-14 88.091636 140.205901 230.103515 408.801430 790.262697 1670.056071 4283.794039
2025-09-21 83.573664 134.720197 224.477205 406.816123 807.386929 1767.327612 4784.893720
2025-09-28 77.315246 125.742409 211.753701 389.175441 786.961974 1766.774331 4976.312029
2025-10-05 75.866129 125.220858 214.655039 403.943763 843.262802 1977.682148 5971.786971
2025-10-12 74.783474 125.262640 218.588334 421.310536 908.718240 2230.519553 7256.146819
2025-10-19 71.964506 121.895335 215.631184 423.351691 936.670892 2383.575536 8237.045623
2025-10-26 67.911146 115.960339 207.168124 412.245420 929.336377 2429.244616 8788.443318
2025-11-02 64.473593 110.991897 200.291169 404.074877 928.631216 2496.067364 9478.140782
2025-11-09 63.336851 110.353090 202.119711 416.203290 984.629416 2761.577326 11307.932006
2025-11-16 60.989841 107.216787 198.566909 415.235233 1004.195205 2910.225412 12646.668597